Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 54.43%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 21.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.89%) and 1-2 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Coritiba win it was 1-0 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
0.14) 
-0.22) 
