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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 46.87%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 1-2 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Columbus Crew |
46.87% ( -0.05) | 23.93% ( 0.02) | 29.2% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 58.81% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.87% ( -0.04) | 43.13% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.47% ( -0.04) | 65.53% ( 0.04) |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.42% ( -0.04) | 18.58% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.15% ( -0.07) | 49.85% ( 0.07) |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.23% ( 0.01) | 27.77% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.65% ( 0.01) | 63.36% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Columbus Crew |
| 2-1 @ 9.36% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.69% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.31% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.25% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.37% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.73% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0)Other @ 3.44% Total : 46.87% | 1-1 @ 11.12% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.16% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.93% | 1-2 @ 7.13% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.61% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.24% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.04% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.56% 0-3 @ 1.81% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 2.84% Total : 29.2% |
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