SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Kitts and Nevis win with a probability of 50.36%. A win for Aruba had a probability of 27.86% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint Kitts and Nevis win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.53%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Aruba win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint Kitts and Nevis would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Saint Kitts and Nevis | Draw | Aruba |
50.36% ( -0.7) | 21.78% ( 0.17) | 27.86% ( 0.53) |
| Both teams to score 65.6% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.26% ( -0.39) | 33.74% ( 0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.43% ( -0.45) | 55.57% ( 0.45) |
| Saint Kitts and Nevis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.19% ( -0.36) | 13.81% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.85% ( -0.72) | 41.14% ( 0.72) |
| Aruba Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.11% ( 0.14) | 23.88% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.92% ( 0.2) | 58.08% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Saint Kitts and Nevis | Draw | Aruba |
| 2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 6.11% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 4.27% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 3.02% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.05)4-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.83% Total : 50.36% | 1-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 6.63% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.42% Total : 21.78% | 1-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.81% Total : 27.86% |
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