SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Argentina | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Canada | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Chile | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Peru | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Suriname win with a probability of 46.23%. A win for Canada had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Suriname win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Canada win was 1-0 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Canada would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Canada | Draw | Suriname |
29.01% ( -0.61) | 24.76% ( -0.02) | 46.23% ( 0.64) |
| Both teams to score 55.86% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.06% ( -0.26) | 46.94% ( 0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.81% ( -0.24) | 69.19% ( 0.25) |
| Canada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.15% ( -0.56) | 29.85% ( 0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.06% ( -0.69) | 65.94% ( 0.69) |
| Suriname Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.63% ( 0.17) | 20.37% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.22% ( 0.27) | 52.78% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Canada | Draw | Suriname |
| 1-0 @ 7.35% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.07% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 4.44% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 1.79% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.23% Total : 29.01% | 1-1 @ 11.69% 0-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.76% | 0-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 9.31% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 7.7% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 4.94% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 4.08% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.96% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.19% ( 0)Other @ 2.78% Total : 46.23% |
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