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Friendlies 1
Sep 11, 2024 at 2am UK
Soldier Field
CN

Mexico
0 - 0
Canada


Araujo (18'), Huerta (26'), Mozo (69')
FT

Choiniere (57'), Laryea (65'), Sigur (88')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Mexico 3-0 New Zealand
Sunday, September 8 at 2am in International Friendlies
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: USA 1-2 Canada
Saturday, September 7 at 9pm in International Friendlies
Current Group A Standings P GD PTS
1Argentina359
2Canada3-14
3Chile3-12
4Peru3-31

We said: Mexico 2-2 Canada

Both sides look rejuvenated under new managers, who have given them a lot more freedom going forward, which is why we project a spirited affair with multiple goes for each. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 53%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Canada had a probability of 21.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Canada win it was 0-1 (7.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
MexicoDrawCanada
53% (0.218 0.22) 25.33% (0.119 0.12) 21.67% (-0.335 -0.33)
Both teams to score 47.17% (-0.743 -0.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.02% (-0.77 -0.77)54.97% (0.77 0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.75% (-0.639 -0.64)76.25% (0.639 0.64)
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.24% (-0.217 -0.22)20.76% (0.219 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.61% (-0.34500000000001 -0.35)53.39% (0.346 0.35)
Canada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.53% (-0.773 -0.77)40.47% (0.774 0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.92% (-0.707 -0.71)77.08% (0.709 0.71)
Score Analysis
    Mexico 52.99%
    Canada 21.67%
    Draw 25.32%
MexicoDrawCanada
1-0 @ 13.2% (0.3 0.3)
2-0 @ 10.38% (0.17 0.17)
2-1 @ 9.39% (-0.043999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 5.44% (0.052 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.92% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.14% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.94% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 52.99%
1-1 @ 11.94% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.4% (0.248 0.25)
2-2 @ 4.25% (-0.111 -0.11)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 25.32%
0-1 @ 7.6% (0.067 0.07)
1-2 @ 5.4% (-0.104 -0.1)
0-2 @ 3.44% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.63% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.28% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.04% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 21.67%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Mexico 3-0 New Zealand
Sunday, September 8 at 2am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Mexico 0-0 Ecuador
Monday, July 1 at 1am in Copa America
Last Game: Venezuela 1-0 Mexico
Thursday, June 27 at 2am in Copa America
Last Game: Mexico 1-0 Jamaica
Sunday, June 23 at 2am in Copa America
Last Game: Mexico 2-3 Brazil
Sunday, June 9 at 2am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Mexico 0-4 Uruguay
Thursday, June 6 at 2am in International Friendlies
Last Game: USA 1-2 Canada
Saturday, September 7 at 9pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Canada 2-2 Uruguay (3-4 pen.)
Sunday, July 14 at 1am in Copa America
Last Game: Argentina 2-0 Canada
Wednesday, July 10 at 1am in Copa America
Last Game: Venezuela 1-1 Canada (3-4 pen.)
Saturday, July 6 at 2am in Copa America
Last Game: Canada 0-0 Chile
Sunday, June 30 at 1am in Copa America
Last Game: Peru 0-1 Canada
Tuesday, June 25 at 11pm in Copa America


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