Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Venezuela | 3 | 5 | 9 |
2 | Ecuador | 3 | 1 | 4 |
3 | Mexico | 3 | 0 | 4 |
4 | Jamaica | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 53%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Canada had a probability of 21.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Canada win it was 0-1 (7.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Mexico | Draw | Canada |
53% ( 0.22) | 25.33% ( 0.12) | 21.67% ( -0.33) |
Both teams to score 47.17% ( -0.74) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.02% ( -0.77) | 54.97% ( 0.77) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.75% ( -0.64) | 76.25% ( 0.64) |
Mexico Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.24% ( -0.22) | 20.76% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.61% ( -0.35) | 53.39% ( 0.35) |
Canada Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.53% ( -0.77) | 40.47% ( 0.77) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.92% ( -0.71) | 77.08% ( 0.71) |
Score Analysis |
Mexico | Draw | Canada |
1-0 @ 13.2% ( 0.3) 2-0 @ 10.38% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 5.44% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.92% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.35% Total : 52.99% | 1-1 @ 11.94% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.73% Total : 25.32% | 0-1 @ 7.6% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.28% Total : 21.67% |
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