SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Argentina | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Canada | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Chile | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Peru | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 41.45%. A win for Canada had a probability of 33.6% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.79%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Canada win was 2-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Canada | Draw | USA |
| 33.6% | 24.95% | 41.45% |
| Both teams to score 57.38% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.09% | 45.92% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.78% | 68.22% |
| Canada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.67% | 26.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.53% | 61.47% |
| USA Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.89% | 22.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.52% | 55.48% |
| Score Analysis |
| Canada | Draw | USA |
| 2-1 @ 7.82% 1-0 @ 7.77% 2-0 @ 5.18% 3-1 @ 3.48% 3-2 @ 2.63% 3-0 @ 2.31% 4-1 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.25% Total : 33.6% | 1-1 @ 11.72% 2-2 @ 5.9% 0-0 @ 5.82% 3-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.95% | 1-2 @ 8.85% 0-1 @ 8.79% 0-2 @ 6.63% 1-3 @ 4.45% 0-3 @ 3.33% 2-3 @ 2.97% 1-4 @ 1.68% 0-4 @ 1.26% 2-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.38% Total : 41.45% |
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