Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a USA win with a probability of 45.79%. A win for Mexico has a probability of 27.5% and a draw has a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (8.66%). The likeliest Mexico win is 1-0 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.63%).