USA have certainly had the better of the recent meetings between the two sides, with Mexico struggling for goals in their last few encounters. We are backing Mexico to give their supporters something to cheer on Tuesday night, but we fancy USA to put another victory on the board under Pochettino. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 47.32%. A win for Mexico had a probability of 26.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (8.91%). The likeliest Mexico win was 1-0 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Mexico	Draw	USA
26.4% ( -0.17)	26.27% ( 0.29)	47.32% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 49.26% (

-0.99)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.32% (

-1.22)

54.67% (

1.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24% (

-1.03)

76% (

1.02)

Mexico Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.06% (

-0.81)

35.94% (

0.8)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.28% (

-0.83)

72.71% (

0.83)

USA Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.9% (

-0.58)

23.1% (

0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.05% (

-0.85)

56.95% (

0.85)

Score Analysis

Mexico 26.4%

USA 47.32%

Draw 26.26%

Mexico	Draw	USA
1-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 6.37% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.17% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.94% Total : 26.4%	1-1 @ 12.44% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 8.3% ( 0.39) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.26%	0-1 @ 12.16% ( 0.37) 1-2 @ 9.12% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 8.91% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 4.46% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 4.35% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.81% Total : 47.32%