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CONCACAF Nations League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Nov 19, 2024 at 1am UK
CityPark
JN

USA
4 - 2
Jamaica

Pulisic (14'), Bernard (33' og.), Pepi (42'), Weah (56')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Gray (53', 68')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Jamaica 0-1 USA
Friday, November 15 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League
Current Group C Standings P GD PTS
1Uruguay389
2Panama316
3USA303
4Bolivia3-90
All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Jamaica 0-1 USA
Friday, November 15 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League

We said: USA 1-0 Jamaica (USA win 2-0 on aggregate)

The Jamaicans have shown they can play the Americans tough, but we do not believe they have enough depth to compete with the US for 90 minutes and turn this tie in their favour. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 58.94%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Jamaica had a probability of 17.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.73%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Jamaica win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that USA would win this match.

Result
USADrawJamaica
58.94% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03) 23.58% (-0.02 -0.02) 17.48% (0.055 0.05)
Both teams to score 45.74% (0.156 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.52% (0.155 0.16)53.48% (-0.15 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25% (0.131 0.13)75% (-0.125 -0.13)
USA Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.11% (0.048999999999992 0.05)17.89% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.32% (0.077999999999996 0.08)48.68% (-0.073 -0.07)
Jamaica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.71% (0.16 0.16)44.29% (-0.155 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.64% (0.129 0.13)80.36% (-0.124 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    USA 58.93%
    Jamaica 17.48%
    Draw 23.58%
USADrawJamaica
1-0 @ 13.63% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-0 @ 11.73% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.56% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.73% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.48% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.9% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.36% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.23% (0.015 0.02)
5-0 @ 1% (0.001 0)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 58.93%
1-1 @ 11.1%
0-0 @ 7.92% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-2 @ 3.89% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 23.58%
0-1 @ 6.45% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.52% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.63% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.23% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.06% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 17.48%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Jamaica 0-1 USA
Friday, November 15 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Mexico 2-0 USA
Wednesday, October 16 at 3.30am in International Friendlies
Last Game: USA 2-0 Panama
Sunday, October 13 at 2am in International Friendlies
Last Game: USA 1-1 New Zealand
Wednesday, September 11 at 12am in International Friendlies
Last Game: USA 1-2 Canada
Saturday, September 7 at 9pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: USA 0-1 Uruguay
Tuesday, July 2 at 2am in Copa America
Last Game: Jamaica 0-1 USA
Friday, November 15 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Jamaica 0-0 Honduras
Tuesday, October 15 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Nicaragua 0-2 Jamaica
Friday, October 11 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Honduras 1-2 Jamaica
Wednesday, September 11 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Jamaica 0-0 Cuba
Saturday, September 7 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Jamaica 0-3 Venezuela
Monday, July 1 at 1am in Copa America


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