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World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round
Sep 6, 2021 at 1am UK
 
CN

USA
1 - 1
Canada

Aaronson (55')
Siebatcheu (29'), Brooks (32'), Adams (69')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Larin (62')
Laryea (28'), Kaye (68')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 50.89%. A win for Canada had a probability of 25.09% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Canada win was 0-1 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
USADrawCanada
50.89%24.01%25.09%
Both teams to score 55.06%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.51%46.49%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.23%68.77%
USA Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.71%18.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.64%49.36%
Canada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.38%32.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.84%69.16%
Score Analysis
    USA 50.89%
    Canada 25.09%
    Draw 24.01%
USADrawCanada
1-0 @ 10.13%
2-1 @ 9.64%
2-0 @ 8.61%
3-1 @ 5.46%
3-0 @ 4.88%
3-2 @ 3.06%
4-1 @ 2.32%
4-0 @ 2.07%
4-2 @ 1.3%
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 50.89%
1-1 @ 11.35%
0-0 @ 5.97%
2-2 @ 5.4%
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.01%
0-1 @ 6.68%
1-2 @ 6.36%
0-2 @ 3.74%
1-3 @ 2.38%
2-3 @ 2.02%
0-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 25.09%

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