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CONCACAF Nations League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Nov 15, 2024 at 1am UK
Independence Park
UN

Jamaica
vs.
USA

 
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League Quarter-Finals clash between Jamaica and USA.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Jamaica 0-0 Honduras
Tuesday, October 15 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League
All competitions
Last Game: Mexico 2-0 USA
Wednesday, October 16 at 3.30am in International Friendlies
Current Group C Standings P GD PTS
1Uruguay389
2Panama316
3USA303
4Bolivia3-90

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a USA win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for Jamaica has a probability of 30.42% and a draw has a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win is 0-1 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (8%) and 1-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Jamaica win is 1-0 (11.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.29%).

Result
JamaicaDrawUSA
30.42% (1.733 1.73) 28.97% (0.8 0.8) 40.61% (-2.533 -2.53)
Both teams to score 44.06% (-1.38 -1.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.61% (-2.093 -2.09)62.39% (2.094 2.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.97% (-1.56 -1.56)82.02% (1.561 1.56)
Jamaica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.08% (0.21 0.21)36.92% (-0.209 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.29% (0.21 0.21)73.71% (-0.209 -0.21)
USA Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.85% (-2.428 -2.43)30.15% (2.429 2.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.7% (-3.013 -3.01)66.29% (3.014 3.01)
Score Analysis
    Jamaica 30.42%
    USA 40.6%
    Draw 28.96%
JamaicaDrawUSA
1-0 @ 11.09% (0.9 0.9)
2-1 @ 6.63% (0.145 0.15)
2-0 @ 5.53% (0.475 0.48)
3-1 @ 2.2% (0.06 0.06)
3-0 @ 1.84% (0.167 0.17)
3-2 @ 1.32% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 30.42%
1-1 @ 13.29% (0.21 0.21)
0-0 @ 11.13% (0.84 0.84)
2-2 @ 3.97% (-0.186 -0.19)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 28.96%
0-1 @ 13.34% (0.14 0.14)
0-2 @ 8% (-0.47 -0.47)
1-2 @ 7.97% (-0.42 -0.42)
0-3 @ 3.2% (-0.425 -0.43)
1-3 @ 3.19% (-0.403 -0.4)
2-3 @ 1.59% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-4 @ 0.96% (-0.203 -0.2)
1-4 @ 0.96% (-0.197 -0.2)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 40.6%

Form Guide
Last Game: Jamaica 0-0 Honduras
Tuesday, October 15 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Nicaragua 0-2 Jamaica
Friday, October 11 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Honduras 1-2 Jamaica
Wednesday, September 11 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Jamaica 0-0 Cuba
Saturday, September 7 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Jamaica 0-3 Venezuela
Monday, July 1 at 1am in Copa America
Last Game: Ecuador 3-1 Jamaica
Wednesday, June 26 at 11pm in Copa America
Last Game: Mexico 2-0 USA
Wednesday, October 16 at 3.30am in International Friendlies
Last Game: USA 2-0 Panama
Sunday, October 13 at 2am in International Friendlies
Last Game: USA 1-1 New Zealand
Wednesday, September 11 at 12am in International Friendlies
Last Game: USA 1-2 Canada
Saturday, September 7 at 9pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: USA 0-1 Uruguay
Tuesday, July 2 at 2am in Copa America
Last Game: Panama 2-1 USA
Thursday, June 27 at 11pm in Copa America


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