SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Guatemala | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Canada | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Guadeloupe | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Cuba | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Guatemala | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Canada | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Guadeloupe | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Cuba | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 37.83%. A win for Guatemala had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.48%) and 1-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Guatemala win was 1-0 (12.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Guatemala | Draw | Canada |
32.22% ( 0.26) | 29.95% ( -0.04) | 37.83% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 42.01% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.87% ( 0.16) | 65.13% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.02% ( 0.11) | 83.98% ( -0.11) |
| Guatemala Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.93% ( 0.28) | 37.07% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.14% ( 0.28) | 73.86% ( -0.28) |
| Canada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.76% ( -0.05) | 33.24% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.15% ( -0.06) | 69.85% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Guatemala | Draw | Canada |
| 1-0 @ 12.22% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.68% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.81% Total : 32.21% | 1-1 @ 13.46% 0-0 @ 12.32% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.48% Total : 29.94% | 0-1 @ 13.57% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 7.48% ( -0.07)1-2 @ 7.42% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.55% Total : 37.83% |
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