SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jamaica win with a probability of 36.75%. A win for Haiti had a probability of 35.2% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jamaica win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.83%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Haiti win was 0-1 (11.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jamaica | Draw | Haiti |
36.75% ( -1.2) | 28.05% ( 0.09) | 35.2% ( 1.1) |
| Both teams to score 47.63% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.55% ( -0.24) | 58.45% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.96% ( -0.19) | 79.04% ( 0.19) |
| Jamaica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.51% ( -0.84) | 30.49% ( 0.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.29% ( -1.01) | 66.71% ( 1.01) |
| Haiti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.52% ( 0.6) | 31.47% ( -0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.14% ( 0.69) | 67.86% ( -0.69) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jamaica | Draw | Haiti |
| 1-0 @ 11.39% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 7.83% ( -0.17)2-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.26)3-1 @ 3.1% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.27% Total : 36.74% | 1-1 @ 13.17% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.6% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.75% Total : 28.04% | 0-1 @ 11.09% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 7.62% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 6.41% ( 0.27)1-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.93% Total : 35.19% |
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