SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 57.62%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Ecuador had a probability of 15.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.26%) and 2-1 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.33%), while for a Ecuador win it was 0-1 (7.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mexico | Draw | Ecuador |
57.62% ( 0.02) | 26.54% ( 0.01) | 15.84% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 35.79% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.84% ( -0.05) | 65.16% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16% ( -0.04) | 84% ( 0.04) |
| Mexico Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.93% ( -0.01) | 23.07% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.09% ( -0.02) | 56.91% ( 0.02) |
| Ecuador Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.52% ( -0.07) | 53.48% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.05% ( -0.05) | 86.95% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mexico | Draw | Ecuador |
| 1-0 @ 18.09% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 13.26% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 8.31% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.49% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.06% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.38% 4-1 @ 1.49% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.27% ( -0)Other @ 2.27% Total : 57.61% | 0-0 @ 12.33% ( 0.02) 1-1 @ 11.32% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.28% Total : 26.53% | 0-1 @ 7.72% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.15% Total : 15.84% |
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