SM
| Current League B Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Saint Lucia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Guadeloupe | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Sint Maarten | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League B Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Saint Lucia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Guadeloupe | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Sint Maarten | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Lucia win with a probability of 59.11%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Saint Kitts and Nevis had a probability of 19.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint Lucia win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.91%) and 0-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Saint Kitts and Nevis win it was 2-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Saint Kitts and Nevis | Draw | Saint Lucia |
19.93% ( 1.31) | 20.96% ( 0.83) | 59.11% ( -2.14) |
| Both teams to score 58.47% ( -0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.28% ( -1.86) | 38.72% ( 1.86) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.97% ( -1.99) | 61.03% ( 1.99) |
| Saint Kitts and Nevis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.07% ( 0.23) | 32.93% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.49% ( 0.26) | 69.51% ( -0.25) |
| Saint Lucia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.18% ( -1.17) | 12.82% ( 1.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.85% ( -2.47) | 39.15% ( 2.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Saint Kitts and Nevis | Draw | Saint Lucia |
| 2-1 @ 5.35% ( 0.29) 1-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.43)2-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.25)3-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.31% Total : 19.93% | 1-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.47) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.36)3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.22% Total : 20.96% | 1-2 @ 9.89% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 8.91% ( -0.02)0-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.37)1-3 @ 6.78% ( -0.29)0-3 @ 6.1% ( -0.3)2-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.14)1-4 @ 3.48% ( -0.32)0-4 @ 3.13% ( -0.31)2-4 @ 1.93% ( -0.16)1-5 @ 1.43% ( -0.2)0-5 @ 1.29% ( -0.19)Other @ 3.74% Total : 59.11% |
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