SM
| Current League B Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Saint Lucia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Guadeloupe | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Sint Maarten | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League B Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Saint Lucia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Guadeloupe | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Sint Maarten | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Lucia win with a probability of 45.99%. A win for Sint Maarten had a probability of 30.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint Lucia win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.06%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Sint Maarten win was 2-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint Lucia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sint Maarten | Draw | Saint Lucia |
30.36% ( -0.03) | 23.64% ( -0.02) | 45.99% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 60.56% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.86% ( 0.07) | 41.14% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.47% ( 0.08) | 63.53% ( -0.07) |
| Sint Maarten Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.98% ( 0.02) | 26.01% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.96% ( 0.02) | 61.04% ( -0.02) |
| Saint Lucia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.85% ( 0.05) | 18.15% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.88% ( 0.09) | 49.12% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sint Maarten | Draw | Saint Lucia |
| 2-1 @ 7.3% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 4.28% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.28% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.92% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.1% 4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 2.38% Total : 30.36% | 1-1 @ 10.84% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.23% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.72% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.64% | 1-2 @ 9.26% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.06% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.88% 1-3 @ 5.27% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.91% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.55% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.25% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.65% Total : 45.99% |
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