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AN
Copa America | Group Stage
Jun 19, 2021 at 1am UK
 
UN

Argentina
1 - 0
Uruguay

Rodriguez (13')
Lo Celso (48'), Martinez (75'), Correa (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Torreira (62'), Ocampo (90')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 41.85%. A win for Uruguay had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Uruguay win was 0-1 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Argentina in this match.

Result
ArgentinaDrawUruguay
41.85%25.88%32.26%
Both teams to score 53.8%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.64%50.36%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.7%72.3%
Argentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.14%23.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.96%58.03%
Uruguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.65%29.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.67%65.32%
Score Analysis
    Argentina 41.85%
    Uruguay 32.26%
    Draw 25.87%
ArgentinaDrawUruguay
1-0 @ 10.03%
2-1 @ 8.82%
2-0 @ 7.19%
3-1 @ 4.21%
3-0 @ 3.44%
3-2 @ 2.58%
4-1 @ 1.51%
4-0 @ 1.23%
4-2 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 41.85%
1-1 @ 12.29%
0-0 @ 7%
2-2 @ 5.4%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.87%
0-1 @ 8.58%
1-2 @ 7.54%
0-2 @ 5.26%
1-3 @ 3.08%
2-3 @ 2.21%
0-3 @ 2.15%
1-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 32.26%

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