Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 61.76%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 15.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.89%) and 1-2 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Bolivia win it was 1-0 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Uruguay would win this match.