Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 43.17%. A win for Chile had a probability of 29.48% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Chile win was 0-1 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
