Villarreal have been disappointing under Quique Setien so far, and will be under pressure to perform here.
Espanyol are building a good unbeaten run, however, and showed real resolve to salvage a point last weekend at Atletico Madrid, so we expect them to pose another stern challenge for the Yellow Submarine.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 38.45%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 34.54% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
1.12) 
-0.11) 
