Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 44.32%. A win for Espanyol had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Espanyol win was 1-0 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%).