We said: Rayo Vallecano 1-2 Real Madrid
Rayo will not enter this match in the best of form, but their home record this season has been so impressive, and they beat Real Madrid when the two sides last locked horns in this stadium. We are finding it tough to back against Los Blancos, though, as Ancelotti's team have had a free week to prepare for this match, so the league leaders should pick up all three points.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 53.38%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 22.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.72%) and 0-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 1-0 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.
