Segunda Division | Gameweek 42
May 28, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
El Molinón
Otero (55')
Jeraldino (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Miguel (12' og.),
Garcia (57'), de Souza (70'), Castellano (82')
Delgado (85')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Sporting Gijon and Ponferradina.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 51.47%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Ponferradina had a probability of 21.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Ponferradina win it was 0-1 (8.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result |
| Sporting Gijon | Draw | Ponferradina |
51.47% ( 0.02) | 27.25% ( 0.09) | 21.28% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 41.74% ( -0.34) |
| 38.15% ( -0.37) | 61.85% ( 0.38) |
| 18.38% ( -0.28) | 81.62% ( 0.28) |
| 75.68% ( -0.15) | 24.32% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.3% ( -0.22) | 58.7% ( 0.23) |
| 55.15% ( -0.34) | 44.85% ( 0.34) |
