SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 37.67%. A win for Ponferradina had a probability of 34.15% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Ponferradina win was 1-0 (11.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ponferradina | Draw | Real Oviedo |
34.15% ( -0.98) | 28.18% ( 0.04) | 37.67% ( 0.94) |
| Both teams to score 47.17% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.02% ( -0.21) | 58.98% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.54% ( -0.16) | 79.45% ( 0.16) |
| Ponferradina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.57% ( -0.75) | 32.43% ( 0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.05% ( -0.86) | 68.95% ( 0.86) |
| Real Oviedo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.81% ( 0.47) | 30.19% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.65% ( 0.56) | 66.35% ( -0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ponferradina | Draw | Real Oviedo |
| 1-0 @ 11.02% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 7.43% ( -0.15)2-0 @ 6.21% ( -0.21)3-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.69% Total : 34.14% | 1-1 @ 13.2% 0-0 @ 9.79% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.73% Total : 28.17% | 0-1 @ 11.72% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 7.91% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 7.02% ( 0.24)1-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.33% Total : 37.67% |
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