Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 37.67%. A win for Ponferradina had a probability of 34.15% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Ponferradina win was 1-0 (11.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
Ponferradina	Draw	Real Oviedo
34.15% ( -0.98)	28.18% ( 0.04)	37.67% ( 0.94)

Both teams to score 47.17% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.02% (

-0.21)

58.98% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.54% (

-0.16)

79.45% (

0.16)

Ponferradina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.57% (

-0.75)

32.43% (

0.75)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.05% (

-0.86)

68.95% (

0.86)

Real Oviedo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.81% (

0.47)

30.19% (

-0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.65% (

0.56)

66.35% (

-0.56)

Score Analysis

Ponferradina 34.14%

Real Oviedo 37.67%

Draw 28.17%

Ponferradina	Draw	Real Oviedo
1-0 @ 11.02% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 7.43% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 6.21% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.69% Total : 34.14%	1-1 @ 13.2% 0-0 @ 9.79% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.73% Total : 28.17%	0-1 @ 11.72% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 7.91% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 7.02% ( 0.24) 1-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.33% Total : 37.67%