While they may suffer a second-leg defeat against Braga, Athletico's seeming ability to avoid heavy losses on the road should stand them in good stead on Wednesday and secure a quarter-final place. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 42.68%. A win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 30.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win was 0-1 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
Bragantino	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
42.68% ( -0)	26.7%	30.61%

Both teams to score 50.57% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.77% (

-0)

54.22% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.37%

75.63% (

-0)

Bragantino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.84% (

-0)

25.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.13%

59.87% (

-0)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.56% (

32.44% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.05% (

68.95% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Bragantino 42.68%

Athletico Paranaense 30.61%

Draw 26.69%

Bragantino	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 11.26% 2-1 @ 8.75% 2-0 @ 7.77% 3-1 @ 4.03% 3-0 @ 3.58% 3-2 @ 2.27% 4-1 @ 1.39% 4-0 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.42% Total : 42.68%	1-1 @ 12.67% 0-0 @ 8.16% 2-2 @ 4.93% Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.69%	0-1 @ 9.19% 1-2 @ 7.14% 0-2 @ 5.17% 1-3 @ 2.68% 0-3 @ 1.94% 2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 30.61%