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Copa do Brasil | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Jul 31, 2024 at 11pm UK
Alinja Arena
B

Athletico PR
2 - 0
Bragantino

Zapelli (21'), Christian (28')
Fernandinho (37'), Erick (55'), Esquivel (73'), Gabriel (87')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Athletico Paranaense 2-1 Bragantino

Having picked up two impressive victories in the last week, Athletico Paranaense will head into Wednesday's tie with confidence as they look to keep the ball rolling. Bragantino's recent results in this fixture should give them plenty of optimism, but we see the hosts coming out on top in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 52.65%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Bragantino had a probability of 22.77%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Bragantino win it was 0-1 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawBragantino
52.65% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 24.59% (0.0010000000000012 0) 22.77% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.67% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.96%51.05% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.1%72.91% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.65%19.35% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.86% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)51.14% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Bragantino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.83% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)37.17% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.04% (0.0040000000000013 0)73.96% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 52.64%
    Bragantino 22.77%
    Draw 24.59%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawBragantino
1-0 @ 11.81%
2-0 @ 9.7% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 9.6%
3-0 @ 5.31% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 5.26% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 2.6%
4-0 @ 2.18% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.16%
4-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 52.64%
1-1 @ 11.69%
0-0 @ 7.19% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 4.75%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 24.59%
0-1 @ 7.12% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 5.79% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 3.52% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 1.91% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.57%
0-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 22.77%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Cuiaba 1-2 Athletico PR
Sunday, July 28 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Athletico PR 2-1 Cerro Porteno
Friday, July 26 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Bragantino 1-0 Athletico PR
Sunday, July 21 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Cerro Porteno 1-1 Athletico PR
Friday, July 19 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Athletico PR 3-0 Ypiranga Erechim
Saturday, July 13 at 10pm in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Athletico PR 1-3 Bahia
Wednesday, July 10 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bragantino 0-1 Fluminense
Sunday, July 28 at 3pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bragantino 3-2 Barcelona
Thursday, July 25 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Bragantino 1-0 Athletico PR
Sunday, July 21 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Barcelona 1-1 Bragantino
Thursday, July 18 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Cruzeiro 2-1 Bragantino
Saturday, July 13 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-0 Bragantino
Sunday, July 7 at 12am in Brasileiro


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