It has been over two weeks since Porteno last played in a competitive game, and given the long layoff, we expect it may take them a while to find a foothold in this one.
Paranaense do not seem to be phased with these knockout fixtures, and we expect them to eventually find a breakthrough against what could be a pesky backline.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 39.06%. A win for Cerro Porteno had a probability of 33.35% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Cerro Porteno win was 1-0 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
0.31) 
-0.46) 
