Despite their underwhelming away form and troubles in the league, Atletico are on a good run in cup football and can come out on top in this Copa do Brasil derby.
Fighting back to progress in the Copa Sudamericana should bolster their confidence, and Goias are not the most secure side defensively.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Goias win with a probability of 40.41%. A win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 31.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Goias win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Atletico Goianiense win was 0-1 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Atletico Goianiense would win this match.
-0.7) 
0.25) 
