Gremio are likely to be hurting a little after they fell 10 points behind Botafogo after losing at home to them in the league at the weekend.
Cuiabano's injury-time equaliser has clearly put the hosts in a strong position heading into this second leg, and we expect them to get the job done to reach the last four of Brazil's primary domestic cup, even if Bahia are likely to provide them with a stern test along the way.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 53.75%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 21.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (7.14%).
-0.03) 
0.01) 
