SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 43.12%. A win for Bahia had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Bahia win was 1-0 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bahia | Draw | Palmeiras |
30.02% ( -0.01) | 26.85% ( -0.01) | 43.12% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 49.84% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.96% ( 0.02) | 55.03% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.7% ( 0.02) | 76.29% ( -0.02) |
| Bahia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.71% ( 0) | 33.28% ( -0.01) |
