Bahia have drawn two of their last three home league games, and we think that they will settle for a point when they face a Gremio side who have lost just one of their previous seven Brasileiro matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 42.74%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Gremio win was 0-1 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Bahia	Draw	Gremio
42.74% ( -0.41)	26.77% ( 0.02)	30.49% ( 0.39)

Both teams to score 50.29% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.45% (

0.09)

54.55% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.1% (

0.07)

75.9% (

-0.07)

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.73% (

-0.17)

25.28% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.96% (

-0.23)

60.04% (

0.23)

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.31% (

0.33)

32.7% (

-0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.75% (

0.37)

69.25% (

-0.36)

Score Analysis

Bahia 42.73%

Gremio 30.49%

Draw 26.77%

Bahia	Draw	Gremio
1-0 @ 11.36% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.82% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 4.01% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.58% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.24% 4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.38% Total : 42.73%	1-1 @ 12.7% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.26% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.77%	0-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.1% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.59% Total : 30.49%