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Brasileiro | Gameweek 10
Jun 11, 2023 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
G

Flamengo
3 - 0
Gremio

Everton (24'), Pedro (65'), Henrique (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kannemann (55'), Suarez (81'), Uvini (87')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Flamengo 2-1 Racing
Friday, June 9 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Gremio 2-1 Sao Paulo
Sunday, June 4 at 8pm in Brasileiro

We said: Flamengo 1-1 Gremio

Given their plethora of fresh concerns and perennial defensive concerns on the road, no sheets should be clean on Gremio's side this week, but the in-form visitors boast the much fresher set of legs. Sampaoli is still blessed with options for change, but Flamengo's Copa Libertadores exploits will likely catch up to them, and both teams' winning streak could be brought to a halt in a tense draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 67.59%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Gremio had a probability of 13.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.09%), while for a Gremio win it was 0-1 (4.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
FlamengoDrawGremio
67.59% (1.271 1.27) 19.13% (-0.327 -0.33) 13.27% (-0.946 -0.95)
Both teams to score 49.75% (-1.525 -1.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.08% (-0.673 -0.67)42.92% (0.672 0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.68% (-0.671 -0.67)65.32% (0.669 0.67)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.28% (0.149 0.15)11.71% (-0.151 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.17% (0.319 0.32)36.83% (-0.32 -0.32)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.35% (-1.826 -1.83)43.65% (1.826 1.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.16% (-1.552 -1.55)79.84% (1.552 1.55)
Score Analysis
    Flamengo 67.58%
    Gremio 13.27%
    Draw 19.13%
FlamengoDrawGremio
2-0 @ 11.75% (0.48 0.48)
1-0 @ 10.96% (0.39 0.39)
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
3-0 @ 8.4% (0.393 0.39)
3-1 @ 6.97% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
4-0 @ 4.51% (0.236 0.24)
4-1 @ 3.74% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.89% (-0.156 -0.16)
5-0 @ 1.93% (0.112 0.11)
5-1 @ 1.6% (0.016 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.55% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 67.58%
1-1 @ 9.09% (-0.131 -0.13)
0-0 @ 5.11% (0.15 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.04% (-0.244 -0.24)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 19.13%
0-1 @ 4.24% (-0.087 -0.09)
1-2 @ 3.77% (-0.251 -0.25)
0-2 @ 1.76% (-0.128 -0.13)
2-3 @ 1.12% (-0.128 -0.13)
1-3 @ 1.04% (-0.126 -0.13)
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 13.27%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Flamengo 2-1 Racing
Friday, June 9 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Vasco 1-4 Flamengo
Tuesday, June 6 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 2-0 Fluminense
Friday, June 2 at 12am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Flamengo 1-1 Cruzeiro
Saturday, May 27 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Nublense 1-1 Flamengo
Thursday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Flamengo 1-0 Corinthians
Sunday, May 21 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Gremio 2-1 Sao Paulo
Sunday, June 4 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Cruzeiro 0-1 Gremio
Thursday, June 1 at 12am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Athletico PR 1-2 Gremio
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Gremio 3-1 Internacional
Sunday, May 21 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Gremio 0-0 Fortaleza
Sunday, May 14 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 4-1 Gremio
Thursday, May 11 at 1.30am in Brasileiro


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