Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for Santa Fe had a probability of 31.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Santa Fe win was 0-1 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.
