Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universitario win with a probability of 59.34%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 17.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Universitario win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.93%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Universitario in this match.
Result | ||
Universitario | Draw | Gimnasia |
59.34% (![]() | 23.56% (![]() | 17.1% (![]() |
Both teams to score 45.11% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.05% (![]() | 53.95% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.6% (![]() | 75.39% (![]() |
Universitario Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.08% (![]() | 17.91% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.28% (![]() | 48.72% (![]() |
Gimnasia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.95% (![]() | 45.05% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.03% (![]() | 80.97% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Universitario | Draw | Gimnasia |
1-0 @ 13.87% (![]() 2-0 @ 11.93% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.52% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.84% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.45% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.94% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.35% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.18% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.01% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 2.32% Total : 59.33% | 1-1 @ 11.06% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.07% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.79% Other @ 0.63% Total : 23.56% | 0-1 @ 6.44% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.41% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.57% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.17% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.5% Total : 17.1% |
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