Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Nacional win with a probability of 37.91%. A win for Club Guarani had a probability of 34.62% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Club Guarani win was 0-1 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Nacional would win this match.
