SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olimpia win with a probability of 44.97%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Patronato had a probability of 27.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olimpia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 2-1 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.9%), while for a Patronato win it was 0-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Olimpia in this match.
| Result | ||
| Olimpia | Draw | Patronato |
44.97% ( 0) | 27.63% ( 0.03) | 27.39% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 46.15% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.96% ( -0.13) | 59.03% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.5% ( -0.1) | 79.5% ( 0.1) |
| Olimpia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.83% ( -0.06) | 26.17% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.74% ( -0.08) | 61.26% ( 0.08) |
| Patronato Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.51% ( -0.1) | 37.49% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.73% ( -0.1) | 74.27% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Olimpia | Draw | Patronato |
| 1-0 @ 13.15% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 8.65% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.94% 3-1 @ 3.86% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.32% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.04% Total : 44.97% | 1-1 @ 12.9% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.81% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.67% Total : 27.63% | 0-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.72% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.71% Total : 27.39% |
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