Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 75.23%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 8.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.95%) and 3-0 (11.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.75%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 0-1 (3.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Boca Juniors in this match.
