Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 69.46%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 11.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.39%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.99%), while for an Arsenal Sarandi win it was 0-1 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
