Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 43.55%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 28.35% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.57%) and 2-1 (8.44%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 0-1 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
