Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 57.32%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 19.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Boca Juniors win it was 0-1 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
