Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 39.75%. A win for Estudiantes had a probability of 31.86% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Estudiantes win was 1-0 (10.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Boca Juniors in this match.
