Guarani
2 - 3
America Mineiro

America Mineiro win 5-4 on penalties

(3-3 on aggregate)

Fernandez (13' pen.), Caceres (15')
Mendoza (27'), Fernandez (35'), Ferreira (69'), Caceres (90+3'), Fernandez (90+6')

FT
(aet)

Paulista (59', 74'), Pedrinho (90+2')
Azevedo (10'), Eder (18'), Maidana (77')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Club Guarani and America Mineiro.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Guarani win with a probability of 40.63%. A win for America Mineiro had a probability of 33.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Guarani win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest America Mineiro win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%).

Result
Club Guarani	Draw	America Mineiro
40.63%	26.09%	33.27%

Both teams to score 53.42%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.01%

50.99%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.14%

72.85%

Club Guarani Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.24%

24.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.68%

59.31%

America Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71%

29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.1%

64.89%

Score Analysis

Club Guarani 40.63%

America Mineiro 33.27%

Draw 26.09%

Club Guarani	Draw	America Mineiro
1-0 @ 10.02% 2-1 @ 8.66% 2-0 @ 7% 3-1 @ 4.03% 3-0 @ 3.26% 3-2 @ 2.5% 4-1 @ 1.41% 4-0 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.63% Total : 40.63%	1-1 @ 12.4% 0-0 @ 7.18% 2-2 @ 5.36% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.09%	0-1 @ 8.89% 1-2 @ 7.68% 0-2 @ 5.5% 1-3 @ 3.17% 0-3 @ 2.27% 2-3 @ 2.21% 1-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.57% Total : 33.27%