Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Corinthians had a probability of 31.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Corinthians win was 0-1 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
