SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 84.74%. A draw had a probability of 10.6% and a win for Aucas had a probability of 4.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.66%) and 4-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.06%), while for an Aucas win it was 0-1 (1.73%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Flamengo | Draw | Aucas |
84.74% ( 0.16) | 10.64% ( -0.1) | 4.62% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 41.06% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.78% ( 0.19) | 32.21% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.18% ( 0.22) | 53.81% ( -0.23) |
| Flamengo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.62% ( 0.06) | 5.37% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 78.91% ( 0.18) | 21.08% ( -0.19) |
| Aucas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 43.4% ( -0.09) | 56.6% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 11.18% ( -0.06) | 88.81% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Flamengo | Draw | Aucas |
| 2-0 @ 12.99% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 12.66% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 9.26% ( 0.05)1-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.06)2-1 @ 7.4% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 7.21% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 5.42% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 5.27% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 3.08% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 1.5% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.5% ( 0)7-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.75% Total : 84.72% | 1-1 @ 5.06% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 3.04% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.43% Total : 10.64% | 0-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.45% Total : 4.62% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
