Copa Libertadores | Third Round | 1st Leg
Mar 6, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Defensores del Chaco
Blasi (41'), Caballero (45+2'), Santacruz (80'), Arevalo (81'), Caballero (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Third Round clash between Club Nacional and Palestino.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Nacional win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for Palestino had a probability of 32.59% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Palestino win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result |
| Club Nacional | Draw | Palestino |
40.45% ( 0.02) | 26.96% ( -0) | 32.59% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 50.49% ( 0.01) |
| 45.34% ( 0.01) | 54.66% ( -0.01) |
| 24.01% ( 0.01) | 75.99% ( -0) |
| 73.47% ( 0.02) | 26.53% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.27% ( 0.02) | 61.73% ( -0.02) |
| 68.72% ( -0) | 31.28% ( 0.01) |
