Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolivar win with a probability of 61.75%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 17.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolivar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolivar would win this match.
Result | ||
Bolivar | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
61.75% (![]() | 21.04% (![]() | 17.2% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.96% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.47% (![]() | 43.53% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.08% (![]() | 65.92% (![]() |
Bolivar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.43% (![]() | 13.56% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.34% (![]() | 40.66% (![]() |
Athletico Paranaense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.28% (![]() | 38.72% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.54% (![]() | 75.46% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Bolivar | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
1-0 @ 10.49% (![]() 2-0 @ 10.48% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.94% 3-0 @ 6.98% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.62% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.49% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.31% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.14% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.57% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.39% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.32% ( ![]() Other @ 3.01% Total : 61.75% | 1-1 @ 9.96% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.25% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.72% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.05% | 0-1 @ 4.98% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.72% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.36% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.49% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.49% ( ![]() Other @ 2.15% Total : 17.2% |
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