SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 77.46%. A draw had a probability of 13.8% and a win for Bolivar had a probability of 8.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.63%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.35%), while for a Bolivar win it was 1-2 (2.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Palmeiras | Draw | Bolivar |
77.46% ( 0.53) | 13.84% ( -0.21) | 8.7% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 52.97% ( -0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.51% ( 0.01) | 30.49% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.22% ( 0.01) | 51.78% ( -0) |
| Palmeiras Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.63% ( 0.1) | 6.37% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 76.1% ( 0.27) | 23.9% ( -0.27) |
| Bolivar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.57% ( -0.65) | 43.43% ( 0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.35% ( -0.55) | 79.65% ( 0.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| Palmeiras | Draw | Bolivar |
| 2-0 @ 10.48% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 9.63% ( 0.16)2-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 8.03% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.15)4-1 @ 5.53% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 3.05% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.03)6-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.05)6-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.02)5-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.11% Total : 77.46% | 1-1 @ 6.35% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 2.77% 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.15% Total : 13.84% | 1-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 2.31% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.76% Total : 8.7% |
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