It is difficult to make much of a case for the visitors in this match as they were outmanoeuvred in the first leg and never really looked likely to get back in the match after going behind. The hosts may be tempted to give some of their key players a rest in this one, but we still expect them to manage a fairly comfortable win.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 80.03%. A draw had a probability of 14.2% and a win for Deportivo Pereira had a probability of 5.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.15%) and 3-0 (12.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.51%), while for a Deportivo Pereira win it was 0-1 (2.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
0.02) 
-0.01) 
