The visitors come into this match carrying very good form, especially in defence, where they have kept three consecutive clean sheets leading up to this match. They are expected to qualify for the next round, and we fancy them to take at least a two-goal lead away from this crucial opening leg.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 41.03%. A win for Deportivo Pereira had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Deportivo Pereira win was 1-0 (10.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
-0.34) 
0.06) 
