Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 36.25%. A win for Cuiaba had a probability of 35.14% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.62%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Cuiaba win was 1-0 (11.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
-0.04) 
0.01) 
