SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 60.13%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 17.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Palmeiras in this match.
| Result | ||
| Palmeiras | Draw | Vasco da Gama |
60.13% ( 0.2) | 21.94% ( -0.22) | 17.93% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 51.48% ( 0.73) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.77% ( 0.96) | 46.23% ( -0.96) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.47% ( 0.9) | 68.52% ( -0.9) |
| Palmeiras Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.05% ( 0.39) | 14.95% ( -0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.64% ( 0.73) | 43.36% ( -0.73) |
| Vasco da Gama Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.53% ( 0.59) | 39.47% ( -0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.84% ( 0.54) | 76.16% ( -0.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| Palmeiras | Draw | Vasco da Gama |
| 1-0 @ 11.21% ( -0.3) 2-0 @ 10.65% ( -0.14)2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 6.75% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.28% ( 0.1)4-0 @ 3.21% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.06)5-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.48% Total : 60.12% | 1-1 @ 10.42% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.24)2-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.94% | 0-1 @ 5.49% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.12% Total : 17.93% |
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